Crime Prediction keeps Society afloat in the past

Crime Prediction keeps Society afloat in the past

One of the the most striking examples of the use of prediction technology are Robert McDaniel's story, described by journalist Matt Stroud in the Verge in May 2022. McDaniel lives in Austin, a neighborhood in Chicago that saw 72 murders, nearly 10 percent of the city's total. , in 2022 only. Despite the fact that McDaniel did not have a record of violence (he was arrested for selling potted dice and burnt), the Chicago Police Department's predictive policing program in 2013 determined that he was an “interested person ”- literally. In the 2011-16 CBS crime drama of the so-called, “the machine,” created by the show’s lead presenter, can only prove that a person is either a victim or a perpetrator of a violent crime , but will not. Similarly, the algorithm used by the CPD showed that Michael Daniel was more likely than 99.9 percent of the population of Chicago to be involved in firing, although it was not known which side of the weapon he would be on.

Equipped with this "knowledge," Chicago police officers placed McDaniel on their Strategic Topic List, later known as the "hot list" and kept a close eye on it, despite the fact that it was not suspected he was involved in any specific crime. As some of that investigation was open, he suggested to others in the neighborhood that he may have had some sort of connection with the police - that he may have been an informant, a reputation that was extremely destructive.

Surprisingly enough, McDaniel has been fired twice since he was first identified with the CPD: first in 2022, perhaps partly due to publicity created by his appearance that year. in a German documentary, Pre-Crime, that he hoped it would help clear his name; and most recently in 2022. He told the Verge that both shootings were the result of the CPD investigation itself, and the resulting suspicion that he was cooperating with law enforcement. “In McDaniel's view,” Stroud writes, “the hot list caused the damage that the creators had hoped to avoid: He foretold a burning that would not have happened if it had not been pre- describe the firing. ”

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That's true enough, but a deeper pattern can be seen here as well. Due to police data from the past, McDaniel's neighborhood, and therefore its occupants, have been declared violent. The program then said that the future would be the same - that is, that there would be no future, only mere repetitions of the past, almost identical. This is not just a self-fulfilling prophecy, though it is for sure: It is a system designed to usher in the past into the future, and so preventing the world from changing.

That program McDaniel was apparently developed specifically for CPD by an engineer at the Illinois Institute of Technology, according to a previous statement by Stroud. The CPD program identified around 400 people who were likely to be involved in violent crime and put them on its hot list. That program began in 2012 and was discontinued in 2022, as announced that year in a report by a Chicago city government watchdog that raised concerns about it, including the accuracy of its decisions and its policies for sharing data with other organizations. The current CPD algorithm was reportedly targeted at individuals, and appears to be similar to a wide range of programs used by law enforcement and militaries of which little is known. For example, in 2022, journalist Ali Winston reported in the Verge that the Palantir research company, founded by Peter Thiel, had been secretly testing a similar technology in New Orleans since 2012 without notifying city officials.

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